The next pandemic may be coming, we are not ready yet — RT World News

Author: Anastasia Safronova, RT Editor


The researchers suggest that the possibility of facing a pandemic caused by the recent “new” coronavirus in a lifetime is very high, and a common global response mechanism should now be established.

The Omicron variant is not the first Covid-19 mutation to challenge current response strategies. Nevertheless, when it became the focus of attention a few weeks ago, it looks like we are back to square one. panic, travel Interrupt, Tighten Restrictive measures, each country Decide On its own, to what extent it can stop the spread.


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The probability of a pandemic like Covid-19 is too high to be left out

According to Marco Marani, a professor in the Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering at the University of Padua, Italy, mankind is just left out of a long-standing threat.

“I’m an engineer who handles statistics on extreme events. That’s why I am interested in the possibility that we will see a similar pandemic again,” He told RT. “I was surprised to find that apparently no one asked this question and the data did not exist.”


He decided together with several other experts confirm People face the opportunity of an epidemic like Covid-19. He said he could find all the available data, but it was scattered. “Epidemiologists are paying attention to malaria and yellow fever. It is understandable that they specialize in certain diseases,” Marani pointed out. “However, regarding the general question of the pandemic, regardless of the specific disease, it seems that this particular question has not been asked. We do have the information, but it has not been integrated before.”

The team analyzed data from 1600 to the present, focusing on the deadliest diseases affecting humans. To say the least, the conclusions they reached are quite worrying.

“If we talk about a lifetime, it becomes a very large number,” Marani explained. “For those born in the early 2000s, the probability is 38%. This is a very likely event.”


Would you bet a 40% chance of losing everything? Honestly, I won’t. This is what we have not been prepared for. That is simply incomprehensible.

The professor warned that this was a wake-up call. Our children have at least a 38% chance of facing another pandemic in their lifetime. This should allow people to hurry up and prepare, no matter the current fight against the pandemic is still in progress.

In the 20th century, people faced an extremely deadly Spanish flu pandemic that lasted for three years. For Marani, there are few lessons learned. Human memory is too short, which will lead to avoidable consequences. “I see the similarities with floods: it’s incredible to see how a big flood happened. After 50 years, the memory disappeared. Even in the flooded areas, people started to be in places that shouldn’t be rebuilt. Rebuild.”

Omicron is still here: how should we face it?

The World Health Organization put forward the same idea, that response measures should be joint. In early December, WHO announced its latest initiative, which was called the “Pandemic Treaty” by the media.The body has been activated “The global process of drafting and negotiating a convention, agreement or other international instrument” Strengthen universality “Pandemic prevention, preparedness and response.” WHO Director-General Tedros Adanom Gebrejesus points out the states “Put me first” As one of the weaknesses of the current anti-Covid operation.

Nevertheless, all this is just a plan. According to experts, a general approach can be helpful, but let’s face it: to fight the enemy of the future, we all need to get rid of the current enemy first.

Professor Jose Antonio Lopez Guerrero from the Department of Molecular Biology of the Autonomous University of Madrid explained to RT that the main problem with the new Covid variant Omicron is that a large number of new mutations may make it spread faster. Fortunately, the infected people only show mild or moderate symptoms of the disease. In addition, so far, there have been no reports of deaths caused by new strains.

What can be done to stop it? “Limiting flights from the most affected cities-well, this should not be the only measure implemented. We should not put too much pressure on countries reporting new variant cases,” Lopez said. “Of course, people from hotspots need to be strictly controlled. But we should also strengthen restrictions that may have been relaxed, such as wearing masks, keeping distance, and mandatory ventilation of places.” But the most important thing is-vaccination. “Regardless of whether the virus can overcome the effects of the jab, vaccination is crucial,” He insisted.